{"id":807,"date":"2008-03-08T21:02:24","date_gmt":"2008-03-09T05:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/?p=807"},"modified":"2008-03-08T21:02:24","modified_gmt":"2008-03-09T05:02:24","slug":"temblor-theory-and-andy-roddick-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/temblor-theory-and-andy-roddick-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Temblor Theory and Andy Roddick"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Andy Roddick is flying high this week with a title in Dubai. Let&#8217;s see why.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Our reader Gabs has been trashing us forever because we gush over <b>Roger Federer<\/b> and give home-grown <b>Andy Roddick<\/b> a hard time. We\u2019re trying to change our ways Gabs, honest we are, but you know, Andy hasn\u2019t give us a whole lot to crow about except for Davis Cup and I, for one, sat there in tears as the boys ran around the arena in Portland celebrating a Davis Cup title.<\/p>\n<p>Now we have something to crow about.<\/p>\n<p>I told you <b>Andy Roddick<\/b> could beat <b>Rafael Nadal<\/b> if he played a bit better from the baseline and served a few more aces. Well, it worked. I would have said no such thing about his next opponent &#8211; <b>Novak Djokovic<\/b> &#8211; but Andy is on a roll and he rolled all the way into the Dubai final against <b>Feliciano Lopez<\/b> and the two of them played an inspiring match.<\/p>\n<p>The crowd was crazy the whole evening. The entire female population \u2013 and some of the men, hopefully \u2013 screamed when Andy changed his shirt late in the second set. Lopez played an inspired tiebreaker to win the first set 8-6 but Andy has his own mojo working this week and he was undeterred. He took the second set 6-4 then broke Lopez to start the third set.<\/p>\n<p>Andy outsteadied Lopez from the baseline and ripped off passing shots like nobody\u2019s business. One of those passing shots gave him his second break in the third set after which the crowd broke out again, this time with chants of \u201cRODDICK RODDICK RODDICK\u2026\u201d  Andy had won his second title of the year by the score of 6-7(8), 6-4, 6-2.<\/p>\n<p>To what do we attribute Andy\u2019s resurgence at a tournament usually dominated by the top two or three players? Two things: the coaching bump and temblor theory.<\/p>\n<p>Andy announced this week that he\u2019d split with his coach, <b>Jimmy Connors<\/b>. Players often get a bump in their performance after separating from a coach. If they fired the coach they want to prove to themselves that they made the right decision. If the coach resigned, they want to show the coach that he gave up too soon.<\/p>\n<p>In this case, it appeared to be a mutual decision. Connors didn\u2019t want to travel as much and Andy couldn\u2019t talk to him about a match that Connors hadn\u2019t seen on TV. What\u2019s the matter Jimmy, you don\u2019t have streaming video :0). I think Connors did give up too soon and that brings up temblor theory.<\/p>\n<p>A temblor is an aftershock to an earthquake. After the big earthquake, the earth rumbles up smaller earthquakes for days after to complete the process of releasing the pressure built up by shifting tectonic plates. It\u2019s not a tremor or a rumble but a combination of the two \u2013 a temblor.<\/p>\n<p><b>Andy Murray<\/b>\u2019s victory over <b>Roger Federer<\/b> was an earthquake and Roddick\u2019s and Lopez\u2019 victories are temblors \u2013 the sounds of upset and reorganization that come after confirmation of a deep reorganization in the structure, in this case, <b>Roger Federer<\/b>\u2019s current vulnerability.<\/p>\n<p><b>Novak Djokovic<\/b>\u2019s victory over Federer in the Australian Open in January wasn\u2019t the earthquake because Federer had food poisoning preceding the tournament and couldn\u2019t prepare properly, but he was totally prepared for Dubai, now his home tournament, and he still went out in the first round and now every player has some of that little voice in his head that says, \u201cI can do it, I can beat Federer.\u201d Especially Roddick, one of Federer\u2019s most hapless victims. (Sorry Gabs but it\u2019s true.)<\/p>\n<p>There is one problem with my theory. Federer is in New York for his Monday night grand exhibition with <b>Pete Sampras<\/b> at Madison Square Garden and he started the proceedings off by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/03\/08\/sports\/tennis\/08tennis.html?ei=5070&#038;en=4ee4cd465afb3842&#038;ex=1205557200&#038;emc=eta1&#038;pagewanted=all\">announcing that he has had mononucleosis<\/a> for the past few months. Thanks to Pat (Digger) Davis for passing this info on, by the way. She\u2019s becoming a real news aggregator.<\/p>\n<p>This is a little puzzling to me because mononucleosis usually knocks you out for a solid period of time and though Federer says he first saw signs of it in December, he did get to the semifinals in Australia and he did import U.S. junior <b>Michael McClune<\/b> to Dubai for an intense ten day training session in February which was amply documented by McClune\u2019s coach, <b>Nick Fustar<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>Now I\u2019m wondering about that training diary&#8230; Maybe I\u2019ve been reading about fictional memoirs too much in the past week. A white woman named Margaret Seltzer passed herself off as a foster child raised in a mixed race family in gang-ridden South Central Los Angeles when, in fact, she was raised on the other side of town in the San Fernando Valley by her birth family and attended a private Episcopalian high school.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m kidding about doubting the veracity of Fustar\u2019s diary but I will say this. Mononucleosis is caused by the Epstein-Barre virus. Most of us have viruses floating around in our body \u2013 despite what most personal ads say, but those viruses don\u2019t bother us until our immune system gets suppressed. Physical and emotional stress suppresses our immune system and though Federer has certainly played a lot of tennis in the past four years that he\u2019s been ranked number one, he\u2019s played fewer matches than any other top player, so I\u2019m guessing the emotional pressure of being top dog is getting to him.<\/p>\n<p>The cracks are beginning to show and players are ready to rush in and take full advantage of his situation. And that\u2019s why it\u2019s too bad Jimmy Connors didn\u2019t stick around. Roddick may have taken Federer\u2019s best shot but he\u2019s still standing and playing better than ever. And that\u2019s a high, high complement.<\/p>\n<p>Gabs, do you have something to add?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Andy Roddick is flying high this week with a title in Dubai. Let&#8217;s see why. Our reader Gabs has been trashing us forever because we gush over Roger Federer and give home-grown Andy Roddick a hard time. We\u2019re trying to change our ways Gabs, honest we are, but you know, Andy hasn\u2019t give us a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}