{"id":737,"date":"2007-11-24T16:27:41","date_gmt":"2007-11-25T00:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/?p=737"},"modified":"2007-11-24T16:27:41","modified_gmt":"2007-11-25T00:27:41","slug":"volatile-tennis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/volatile-tennis\/","title":{"rendered":"Volatile Tennis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Which players have the most volatile games and what does it say about them?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Not volatile temper, silly, volatile game. Volatile in the sense that a volatile player will break serve often but will also lose his serve a lot.<\/p>\n<p>I, for one, believe that we are much better off embracing gambling and educating ourselves than bemoaning the trend and pointing fingers. To that end, I\u2019ve been reading gambling advice on Betfair.com\u2019s blog and found an <a href=\"http:\/\/betting.betfair.com\/tennis\/truths-lies-and-tennis-statist\/volandri-the-most-volatile-pla-1.html\">interesting piece about volatility<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>Matthew Walton<\/b> rated all of the ATP players as follows: if the player broke serve or lost his serve, his volatility ranking would increase. If he held serve or failed to break serve, his volatility ranking would go down.<\/p>\n<p>As you can imagine, big servers who don\u2019t move all that well had low volatility rankings. <b>Andy Roddick<\/b> has the huge serve but he doesn\u2019t break his opponent\u2019s serve that much. <b>Sam Querrey<\/b> is in there too and so is <b>Benjamin Becker<\/b> who depends on his serve far too much. That may be why he\u2019s slipped down to number 87 in the rankings. Querrey might want to take note of that and spend a lot more time on the clay developing his sliding skills.<\/p>\n<p>Clay court players, as you\u2019d also expect, since it\u2019s harder to hold serve on clay, are the most volatile and <b>Filippo Volandri<\/b> is the most volatile of all. He\u2019s already pretty popular with the bettors if you look at the number of suspicious matches his names pops up in but this is one more reason he\u2019s popular and here\u2019s why.<\/p>\n<p>Betfair is a betting exchange. Bettors offer bets to each other rather than making bets with a bookmaker. A betting exchange is also different than the usual betting operation in that you can make bets throughout a match, not just before a match starts.<\/p>\n<p>As Walton points out, there are a lot more mid-match betting opportunities on a match with volatile players than non-volatile players because Roddick and Querrey are in trouble if they lose their serve so the outcome is more predictable. If Volandri loses his serve, no big deal, because he breaks serve a lot too.<\/p>\n<p>Why should you care if you\u2019re not a day trader in the tennis market? The volatility ranking tells us some interesting things. As Walton also points out, if you\u2019re in the middle of the pack it probably means you hold your serve well and break your opponent\u2019s serve, which is a good thing.<\/p>\n<p><b>Roger Federer<\/b> and <b>Rafael Nadal<\/b> are in this group but so, surprisingly, is <b>Ivo Karlovic<\/b>. You\u2019d think that being 6ft 10in would automatically put him in the \u201cdoesn\u2019t move so well\u201d category but apparently it doesn\u2019t and that explains why his ranking has shot up in the latter part of this year.<\/p>\n<p>Two other people in that mid-group are <b>Paul-Henri Mathieu<\/b> and <b>Marcos Baghdatis<\/b> and that means one thing: they have the potential to be top players, they just aren\u2019t fulfilling their potential.<\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t have time to lay down hundreds of bets but I would love to be on Betfair because they stream tennis matches from around the world. I can\u2019t use Betfair, though, because I live in the U.S. and offshore gambling is illegal. If you have a few coins in your piggy bank and you love tennis, it could be worthwhile to set up an account just so you can see tennis matches from Beijing and Bangkok on your computer screen.<\/p>\n<p>Just don\u2019t come complaining to me if you lose your pennies. In other words, if you have any addictive tendencies, stick to the telly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Which players have the most volatile games and what does it say about them? Not volatile temper, silly, volatile game. Volatile in the sense that a volatile player will break serve often but will also lose his serve a lot. I, for one, believe that we are much better off embracing gambling and educating ourselves [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[106,21,44,47,53,64,74,81,85],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-andy-roddick","category-atp-players","category-filippo-volandri","category-gambling","category-ivo-karlovic","category-marcos-baghdatis","category-paul-henri-mathieu","category-rafael-nadal","category-roger-federer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}