{"id":342,"date":"2006-05-12T23:25:07","date_gmt":"2006-05-13T07:25:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/?p=342"},"modified":"2006-05-12T23:25:07","modified_gmt":"2006-05-13T07:25:07","slug":"atp-fantasy-tennis-safe-bets-in-rome","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/atp-fantasy-tennis-safe-bets-in-rome\/","title":{"rendered":"ATP Fantasy Tennis: safe bets in Rome"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Much has been made of the fact that David Nalbandian has a career winning record against Roger Federer but it&#8217;s rather misleading. Federer came within two points of beating Nalbandian in the title match of last year&#8217;s championship in Shanghai despite the fact that he had missed seven weeks with an injured ankle. Previous to that match, Nalbandian had not beaten Federer since 2003.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s curious to note that nine of the ten matches between these two took place at a Masters Series or slam event. In the only smaller event, Nalbandian beat Federer in his home town of Basel in 2002. That wasn&#8217;t very nice.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow they meet again in the semifinals of the Tennis Masters Series Rome. I&#8217;m less concerned about Nalbandian&#8217;s career record against Federer than Federer&#8217;s difficulties with Nicolas Almagro today. After Federer won the first set 6-3, Almagro took the second set tiebreaker 7-2. Almagro had trouble serving at 5-6 in the third set to lose it 5-7 else they were heading for another tiebreak.<\/p>\n<p>Almagro has played exactly one match on hard court this year, a first round loss to Igor Andreev in the Australian Open, otherwise he&#8217;s a monster on clay where he&#8217;s 22-5. It might have been the perfect preparation for Federer. While everyone else in the round had a romp, Federer fought past a tough opponent and is more than ready for Nalbandian and, hopefully, Nadal.<\/p>\n<p>Federer vs. Nadal is not a rivalry unless Federer can beat Nadal now and then. A victory on clay would be a good start.<\/p>\n<p>I was 4 for 4 in picking quarterfinal matches and I&#8217;m 30 for 52 overall in this tournament. That means that I&#8217;ve been correct 57% of the time. Books on gambling tell you that you are doing o.k. if you make 53% or more of your bets. If you&#8217;re winning more than 57 or 58% of your bets, then you&#8217;re not taking enough chances, you&#8217;re choosing easy bets and are probably not making as much money as you could.<\/p>\n<p>The purpose here is to play fantasy tennis, not gamble, but I wonder if playing fantasy tennis has a similar effect as gambling. When you gamble, what happens durin the game is not as important as the final score and whether you won the bet. I wonder if fantasy game players find themselves paying more attention to the outcome of a match and less to the tennis itself.<\/p>\n<p>How about you?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennisdiary\/images\/rome06-top-sf.gif\" style=\"border:0\"\/><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennisdiary\/images\/rome06-bottom-sf.gif\" style=\"border:0\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Much has been made of the fact that David Nalbandian has a career winning record against Roger Federer but it&#8217;s rather misleading. Federer came within two points of beating Nalbandian in the title match of last year&#8217;s championship in Shanghai despite the fact that he had missed seven weeks with an injured ankle. Previous to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fantasy-tennis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=342"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/342\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ninarota.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}